Hormuz → Petroline to the Red Sea → the exposure moves to Bab el-Mandeb.

Hormuz → Habshan–Fujairah → out of the Gulf entirely; the cleanest exit, capacity-limited.

Red Sea → SUMED overland → a ready oil bridge to the Mediterranean.

Suez at risk → rail across Egypt → a land layer between two seas.

Everything at risk → around the Cape → the route works; the price is a month and millions per voyage.

The classic sea axis → the 7,200 km north–south corridor → India–Russia transit roughly halved, still hanging on one missing 162 km link.

Bypass capacity is not total capacity — one pipe never carries the whole sea lane.

Map distance is not system distance — shorter on the globe can be longer in operation.

A route that is 99% complete with one missing segment does not work as promised.

The resource consumed at every step is time: a ship held for weeks shrinks the whole fleet.